Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-09-29 3.604550 4.167503 4.792353 5.537859 6.403883 7.379139 8.562079
2024-10-06 3.101642 3.902307 4.870795 6.130916 7.730969 9.699998 12.315031
2024-10-13 2.617826 3.545046 4.753993 6.451359 8.782667 11.886430 16.356071
2024-10-20 2.196377 3.175866 4.541461 6.594387 9.621022 13.948299 20.657161
2024-10-27 1.771819 2.715970 4.113369 6.346856 9.856480 15.208310 24.081095
2024-11-03 1.586560 2.567724 4.103109 6.702068 11.038198 18.064834 30.479015
2024-11-10 1.449589 2.466567 4.142075 7.133326 12.410369 21.461636 38.436445
2024-11-17 1.301315 2.318258 4.074765 7.368284 13.486095 24.547074 46.476823
2024-11-24 1.144484 2.126528 3.897999 7.373253 14.143975 26.998437 53.838322
2024-12-01 0.980672 1.893754 3.607704 7.112969 14.249325 28.424470 59.479749
2024-12-08 0.840789 1.682910 3.323375 6.811388 14.211471 29.548116 64.706088
2024-12-15 0.765538 1.586949 3.246214 6.911470 15.009501 32.510673 74.471729
2024-12-22 0.676728 1.453831 3.082786 6.824354 15.442063 34.885913 83.713008
2024-12-29 0.645519 1.438302 3.164274 7.290762 17.210588 40.609098 102.250830
2025-01-05 0.596509 1.375501 3.133058 7.497205 18.422357 45.302720 119.425633
2025-01-12 0.542769 1.292934 3.043723 7.550490 19.277284 49.317398 135.861560
2025-01-19 0.471376 1.156749 2.806672 7.196559 19.032734 50.501901 144.911325
2025-01-26 0.448604 1.135831 2.845110 7.554491 20.739018 57.203457 171.417273
2025-02-02 0.432143 1.128104 2.915296 8.010924 22.814593 65.380344 204.509858
2025-02-09 0.406738 1.092763 2.908277 8.254882 24.341476 72.334399 235.697309
2025-02-16 0.373291 1.030234 2.818466 8.247050 25.127198 77.268880 261.689008
2025-02-23 0.332517 0.940785 2.640239 7.946557 24.959026 79.237096 278.204554
2025-03-02 0.295164 0.855113 2.458958 7.603326 24.586972 80.481620 292.549556